Arizona Flooding Is All Wet


People are inquiring how we are doing here with all the news about flooding and cactus floating downstream.


We had several days of flood watches here at my location. Two days our small county was singled out as being of special concern for heavy rain events.

My weather info site is the Weather Underground, which I heard was acquired by The Weather Channel a while ago. The Weather Underground started putting actual rain amounts expected per day on its daily weather graph. Suffice it to say we were “expecting” 3 inches or more here over this 5 day or so period. One day six tenths plus expected, actual: 0.00. The biggest amount predicted was 8+ tenths of an inch; actual; 0.03.

I have since heard from those on The Weather Channel that they hope Arizona will not get another bout of weather like that last one. Others are worried how we are doing under that deluge that actually totaled about 0.67 for the entire tropical event. Two outflow boundaries crossed here one afternoon saving what looked like another blank rain day with 0.37″, the largest amount of the event. We are still below normal at my location this monsoon season. Plants are already drying out and wilting.

The moral to this story is; Do not believe all the hype that gets attached as being a universal truth while the rest of the story is not reported at all.

The scenes of flooding are somewhat common given locally heavy rains as well as rain draining off from higher elevation. Why the weather experts were so wrong regarding my location, especially since they were signaling us out for even more than expected?–Not that uncommon here at all. Subsidence, dry air advection, outflows of “spent” air descending from the tops of storms along fixed mountain ranges, the “rain shadow” from southern winds that can cause storms to regularly not form well until north of here; these things are routine from my observations but not seemingly in generalized weather prediction ascribed to us.

We, like most of the drought stricken southwest, need all the rain we can get. It’s not the lands fault that people drive through flooded washes or build on floodplains.

Don’t blame the messenger–rain.