Web Searching Can Be Like The Weather; Not What Is Predicted

I was just trying to find a quote for a political article I’m writing.

I generally do not make things up, like “Death Panels”, even though it might be a discussion about death and lets say a kind of panel, or grouping of folks considering ones options on end of life issues.  So.  Since I was going to refer to a political issue where I know a specific mistake was said repeatedly, but not knowing who said it and from where, I had to make odd search request like; Republican Senator who got Democratic Senators name wrong in health care debate. Like you perhaps, search engines do not know what the hell I am really asking, but do not mind giving me all kinds of alleged responses.

A GOP guy got a congressional democrats name wrong, thinking he was someone with a similar name.  If he would have been that person, it would have been a shaming indictment politically in the health care “debate”, but instead he just happened to have his name sound like an others.  That was close enough, again, for standing in as truth on the conservative talking head, where the blood seems to rush to.  Then, this mistake was still being said the next day after the rest of humanity who cared was informed of the mistake.

Now the right wing is not known for caring what the facts really are, nor if they are actually false but still being promoted as truth.  They are filling in the blanks in their ideology and not a rational/objective attempt at interpreting the world; they must confirm conserved theory as factual.

Conservatism has a block on factual reality testing, and an S.A.P. on creating anything that will lend their ears to a confirmation bias, so that all is well in their world view.  Most of us try to conserve our world view most of the time.  Media conservatism is now operating a shotgun approach on peppering the Health Care Debate with unanswerable (self answered by asking) questions, wild allegation,etc. in order to change appearance reality into an operational consensus reality perception–worked for the Iraq invasion and many other conservative promoted issues.

I was in a religious/spiritual cult decades ago, and can see how this all works, but that does not make me necessarily right.  We, all of us, well most of us, have our established patterns of perception that see the world the way that seems to work for us.  So problems, as long as I block self reflection/introspection some way, are caused by some outside entity.  (Now there are outside influences and cause.  I am not suggesting, as some do, that the whole world is actually only of my own creation.  How I see it may be quite that, but not its reality.  I am not the all God, as “spiritually” seductive that may seem for those who believe the solipsistic viewer creates Creation) ) Back to blocking introspection and bias; Politics tends to raise this one way to see all to an art, and the right wing, to an unquestionable religion, where those who question us must be wrong!

Who cares if fascism is really socialism that is actually really communism and all the isms really liberalism?  Gulp!  No really.

(I am being facetious.  But this circular reasoning loop, where context gets blurred and propositions get confirmed by the emotionalized thesis, is seemingly being established on the GOP’s propaganda platforms.  Circular reasoning can aid and abet Thought-terminating clichés, where a concept gets poisoned, and its possible benefits turned into a perceptual evil to be condemned by ignoring any worth.  We see many being incited to rant against socialism, for instance, when many connective interest of society are actually socialized, but not called or acknowledged as such=concept containment for manipulation of perception purposes. )

By the way.  Did you know Obama , the secret Muslim one, has a plan to overthrow America, so lets us do it first? I’m beginning to think Obama and Osama are the same person;——OMG–!


This long winded post with many an and, and probably a few so’s and such, is really about weather prediction.  It seems not unlike political climate choices. This monsoon=(season) season in the Desert Southwest was said to have a 40% chance of being a good la nina one, which could have been longer and wetter.  It has been very dry overall in  Tucson this hot summer.  I have received about half the rainfall of last year, a la nina like year.

Today was to be one of our best in this year of rarely reaching classic healthy monsoon climatology, especially since last week someone on The Weather Channel kinda suggested the monsoon was gone for the year.  Then yesterday, with rain around Phoenix, it was still the monsoon on the same channel.  No one may do anything about the weather, but that does not stop us from calling it one thing then another as if we may well be changing the weather itself.

This last week summed it up; The remnants of hurricane Jimena were going to soak us good, perhaps.  Then it wasn’t actually headed here anymore (overnight computer model change of heart) but out to the Pacific.  Which, while saying this, it’s energy continued to head east as the maps for it pointed the other way.  We usually get tropical influence a day or more before they predict it will come.  This year one of the weather forecasters even said this.  I thought; amazing, even he sees it.  In that case, that the moist air arrives ahead of prediction.  The other side is true as well; when they say it is going to dry out a few days from now, it often dries out by that evening or the next day.  So it becomes a question as to why what is more or less out the window is thrown out there and the computer prediction seemingly put in its place?

Ah.  The power of institutional mandates.  Sometimes, nothing like a PHD to Pile it Higher and Deeper.

I thought you liked education? Depends on what is actually being educated; a mind or a machined perception.

If I am confusing you, now you know the stress of paying too close attention to our weather forecasters; it is not the window out which they are looking, but the computer screen.  I remember in Tucson one evening in the 1990’s.  The local weather guy declared there was 0% chance of rain, then a loud boom occurred.  The folks in the studio looked at each other. ‘That was thunder!’ As a nasty storm began to pound the studio building. I remember thinking; How could you not at least look out the window?  Since I am very garden and landscape oriented, rain is big to me here in the desert.

So some fact checking is necessary, or should be if we care to be accurate or even right.  I’m glad I did not go into meteorology; for would I be in their same shoes; Which computer model do I pick?  Hum? What are the odds?  What is my hunch?  Which has been right recently? Instead of reading something real, like the sky, although in modern meteorology that has its limitation.  It should never be ignored.

Another day in Tucson, again in the 90’s, I walked into a store on a hot summers day with a rare 100% chance of rain.  I looked at the sky before coming in, thinking; high pressure or hot dry air is wiping out the cloud formations.  Then I heard a female store clerk ask an old gentleman walking in; “Is it going to rain today;—?”  “No.”; confidently said the seemingly old farmer guy.  He learned to read the sky where he is apparently.  The university of real life.  He was quite certain of what I was suspicious of, and what the weather forecasters were certain would not be.

Fact or fiction; there may be no true substitute for real life.  Ism or no ism.  Rain or shine.

This Sky?

A 70% chance of rain this day–perhaps the best % this year; numerous showers and thunderstorms.  I did get 0.01″, earlier, so chalk one up to correct.


Life; Its not all we crack it up to be.